Super Bowl LXI odds tracker: Seahawks and Rams open as co-favorites in a wide-open NFC
Sportsbooks see a historically open field heading into 2026, with nearly half the league priced at 20-1 or shorter.
The defending champion Seattle Seahawks share top billing with the Los Angeles Rams in early Super Bowl LXI futures, but the price tag tells the real story. This is one of the most balanced championship boards sportsbooks have posted in years.
Who are the favorites?
Seattle and Los Angeles each sit at +950 to lift the Lombardi in Santa Clara next February. The Buffalo Bills are next at +1100. The Philadelphia Eagles, Baltimore Ravens and AFC-champion New England Patriots are bunched at +1300. Six teams inside +1300 in mid-May reflects a market that doesn't have a clear consensus pick the way Kansas City dominated futures from 2022 through 2024.
Why is the field so wide open?
Fourteen franchises are priced at +2000 or shorter, which is nearly half the league. A favorite at +950 implies less than 10 percent win probability, an unusually low ceiling for May. Several books cited roster turnover from a record free-agent class, a Patrick Mahomes knee injury that pushes Kansas City off its usual perch, and three coaching changes inside the top playoff contenders as reasons the top of the board lacks a clear separator.
Where are the long shots?
The Arizona Cardinals and Miami Dolphins anchor the board at +25000 (250-to-1). Both opened 2025 with playoff aspirations and finished out of the postseason. Sportsbooks are signaling that rebuilds rarely turn around in a single offseason. The next tier of long shots includes the Tennessee Titans, New York Jets and Las Vegas Raiders, all priced above +12500.
Which numbers should bettors actually watch?
Two market signals matter more than any single line. First, the conference price. Seattle and the Rams are tied at +950 outright, but the Rams are a clear NFC favorite, meaning the market gives Seattle a meaningfully bigger lift from making the Super Bowl. Second, win totals. Baltimore's regular-season win total is among the highest in football despite an 8-9 finish in 2025, suggesting the market expects a major bounce-back under new head coach Jesse Minter.
When do these numbers usually move?
Three windows reliably reshape the board. Late June brings minicamp injury updates and any holdouts. Mid-August captures preseason performance and final 53-man cuts. The first three weeks of the regular season tend to wash out roughly a third of preseason longshots. Anyone hunting value before the field thins should focus on teams with healthy quarterback rooms and second-year coaches who already installed their systems.
Players in this story
Sources
- ESPN: Super Bowl LXI odds: All 32 teams' odds to win the championship
- Yahoo Sports: 2027 Super Bowl odds: Seahawks are favorites to win Super Bowl LXI
- VegasInsider: 2026-27 Super Bowl & NFL Futures Odds
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