Week 2: Depleted Packers Try to Avoid 0-2 at the Jets
The Green Bay Packers visit the New York Jets on Sunday, September 20, after blowing a 22-10 second-half lead in a 39-22 loss at Minnesota in which the Vikings blitzed on more than three-quarters of snaps and sacked Jordan Love four times. Green Bay remains without Josh Jacobs, on the commissioner's exempt list, and Micah Parsons, on the PUP list, with tight end Luke Musgrave also out. New York beat Tennessee 23-10 in its opener behind a turnover-free Geno Smith and 102 rushing yards from Breece Hall, and lists safety Minkah Fitzpatrick as questionable with a groin strain.
Green Bay's line against a blitz-heavy plan
Minnesota's pressure rate exposed the Packers' protection, and the Jets, under Aaron Glenn, have the personnel to try the same approach.
Love threw for 387 and still lost
The Packers' passing game works; it's the run game without Jacobs and the pass rush without Parsons that fell apart in the fourth quarter.
Jets' first home game under the new regime
New York never trailed in Nashville, and Hall's 22-carry day is the template Glenn wants to repeat at MetLife.
AI Prediction
Packers 
Jets Love and the receivers are the best unit on the field
Even in a loss, Green Bay's passing offense produced 387 yards, and the Jets' secondary is thinner if Fitzpatrick sits.
New York's offense is conservative by design
Smith attempted 24 passes in the opener; a run-first plan keeps games close but rarely produces the points to beat a hot passing team.
Green Bay's missing stars limit the margin
Without Jacobs or Parsons, the Packers can't close games on the ground or with pressure, which is why this projects as a four-point game.
The pick backs Green Bay's passing game over the Jets' run-heavy approach. The line moved from 5.5 to 4.5 in the Jets' direction during the week, and the model sees why.
Jets Leaders
Packers Leaders
Team Stats
| Packers | Stat | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| 22.0 | Points Per Game | 23.0 |
| 453.0 | Total Yards | 367.0 |
| 387.0 | Yards Passing | 215.0 |
| 66.0 | Yards Rushing | 152.0 |
| 39.0 | Points Allowed Per Game | 10.0 |
| 258.0 | Yards Allowed | 208.0 |
| 151.0 | Pass Yards Allowed | 140.0 |
| 107.0 | Rush Yards Allowed | 68.0 |
Venue
Closing Line
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Jets Injuries