Week 4: Packers Visit Winless Buccaneers With Mayfield's Thumb in Question
The Green Bay Packers visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, October 4. Tampa Bay is 0-3 after a 23-16 loss to Minnesota in which it went 2 of 17 on third down and Baker Mayfield missed the final drive with a thumb injury; the team has not announced his status. Green Bay is 1-2 after a 35-14 home loss to Atlanta in which it allowed 498 yards, 194 of them on the ground to Bijan Robinson, and Jordan Love threw 53 passes. Thursday update: Mayfield is out at least three weeks with a dislocated thumb and undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels will start.
Mayfield's thumb
He missed the last possession against Minnesota and his status is unresolved.
Green Bay's defense
Four hundred ninety-eight yards allowed to a team that had scored 16 points in two games.
Tampa Bay at 0-3
Three losses by a combined 17 points.
AI Prediction
Packers 
Buccaneers Tampa Bay starts an undrafted rookie
Mayfield is out at least three weeks, Jalon Daniels makes his first NFL start, and receiver Jalen McMillan is out six to eight weeks.
Green Bay has had ten days
The Packers played Thursday and have extra time to fix a run defense that gave up 194 yards to one back.
Tampa Bay's losses have been close
Six, four and seven points, at home in a game it has to win.
Updated Thursday: this opened as a 52 percent Green Bay lean pending Mayfield's thumb. With Mayfield ruled out and Jalon Daniels starting, it moves to 62 percent and Medium confidence. The model's three worst misses this season came from underrating a replacement quarterback, so it stops short of High.
Buccaneers Leaders
Packers Leaders
Team Stats
| Packers | Stat | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| 18.7 | Points Per Game | 20.7 |
| 330.0 | Total Yards | 299.3 |
| 281.3 | Yards Passing | 205.0 |
| 48.7 | Yards Rushing | 94.3 |
| 30.3 | Points Allowed Per Game | 26.3 |
| 356.7 | Yards Allowed | 296.0 |
| 218.0 | Pass Yards Allowed | 220.0 |
| 138.7 | Rush Yards Allowed | 76.0 |
Venue
Closing Line
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Buccaneers Injuries