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Sunday, October 18, 2026
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Week 6 · Sunday, October 18, 2026 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Week 6: Bears Visit Falcons With Penix's Rib and Chicago's Quarterback Both in Question

The Chicago Bears visit the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, October 18. Chicago is 3-2 after a 31-7 loss at Green Bay in which it turned the ball over five times with Case Keenum starting; Caleb Williams is still expected to be out and Tyson Bagent's status after his concussion has not been confirmed. Atlanta is 2-3 after a 30-23 overtime loss to Baltimore in which Michael Penix Jr. hurt a rib late and Tua Tagovailoa threw the game-ending interception; Penix said he expects to play.

Who starts for Chicago

Bagent or Keenum, and the Bears have won with both and lost badly with Keenum.

Penix's rib

He said he will be ready; Atlanta has scored 103 points in his three starts.

Chicago's defense after 31 allowed

Nine, 7 and 12 before the Packers game.

AI Prediction

Confidence: Medium
Bears
20
44% to win
VS
Falcons
24
56% to win
Bears 44% Falcons 56%

Atlanta's offense with Penix is the better unit

One hundred three points in three games, against Chicago's 31 and 7 in its past two.

Chicago's defense can keep it close

The five-turnover game inflated Green Bay's total.

Penix's rib is the risk

If he cannot go, the pick flips.

A Medium home lean that depends on Penix starting.

Falcons Leaders

Passing Yards
Michael Penix Jr.
52/77, 719 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Yards
Bijan Robinson
102 CAR, 580 YDS, 4 TD
Receiving Yards
Drake London
27 REC, 488 YDS
Tackles

Bears Leaders

Passing Yards
Tyson Bagent
42/64, 409 YDS, 3 INT
Rushing Yards
D'Andre Swift
78 CAR, 354 YDS, 4 TD
Receiving Yards
Rome Odunze
17 REC, 273 YDS

Team Stats

Bears Stat Falcons
23.8 Points Per Game 23.8
407.4 Total Yards 375.0
234.2 Yards Passing 208.2
173.2 Yards Rushing 166.8
19.2 Points Allowed Per Game 24.4
324.6 Yards Allowed 341.6
228.6 Pass Yards Allowed 261.4
96.0 Rush Yards Allowed 80.2

Venue

Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta, GA

Closing Line

CHI -3
O/U 49.5
via DraftKings

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Falcons Injuries

Za'Darius Smith
DE · Concussion
Out
Michael Penix Jr.
QB · Not Specified
Questionable
C.J. Henderson
CB · Not Specified
Questionable
Yasir Abdullah
LB · Not Specified
Injured Reserve
A.J. Terrell Jr.
CB · Not Specified
Injured Reserve

Bears Injuries

Anthony Johnson Jr.
S · Not Specified
Out
Kyle Monangai
RB · Sprain
Out
Keyshaun Elliott
LB · Not Specified
Out
Caleb Williams
QB · Strain
Out
Dayo Odeyingbo
DE · Not Specified
Questionable